Sports Trading Card Price Tracker We talk a lot about price movement of single cards and sports trading card boxes on The Sports Card Show Podcast. Each month we'll pick some hot items in the sports card world and monitor the price action over the month. Sometimes we make prediction on if the price is going to go up or down.
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Stephen Strasburg cards are still selling for good money despite having season ending surgery that will keep him out of baseball for at least 18 months. Its not like his career is over by any means, being young and talented I'm sure Strasburg will come back strong.

I remember this time last year seeing most Tim Lincecum Autographs sell for a little less than $100 - after winning 2 Cy Young Awards. Winning the world series, and not having too many current autographs on the market has turned that all around. However Tim Lincecum's World Series Win goes to show you what the market will pay for a top performing pitcher ... even when things are going good.

Basically I think that between $80 - $90 is what the market will pay over time for a top pitching talent not on the Yankees or Red Sox (or other huge market team). Given that even if all goes well Strasburg will be just starting to pitch again this time next year. Not to mention you have Aroldis Chapman, Bryce Harper, even Buster Posey and other SF Giants taking the spotlight (and collectors dollars) away from Strasburg, I have to think his prices will fall. We will also see the release of 2010 Bowman Chrome and 2010 Topps Sterling Baseball, which will flood the market with more Stephen Strasburg 2010 (RC) Cards.

I said on show #65 of The Sports Card Show Podcast that if these are selling for these prices next year, I'll buy 5 boxes of this stuff and give away the cards for free. We'll see if I regret that call!!

2010 Topps Update Stephen Strasburg Autograph #PPA-SS

$130.00 -- Average Price

Prediction Down Arrow 30% Decline or Selling for around $90.00
July 1st 2011

2010 Topps Update Peak Performance Stephen Strasburg Autograph #PPA-SS

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Stephen Strasburg cards are still selling for good money despite having season ending surgery that will keep him out

of baseball for at least 18 months. Its not like his career is over by any means, being young and talented I'm sure

Strasburg will come back strong.

I remember this time last year seeing most Tim Lincecum Autographs sell for a little less than $100 - after winning

2 Cy Young Awards. Winning the world series, and not having too many current autographs on the market has turned

that all around. However Tim Lincecum's World Series Win goes to show you what the market will pay for a top

performing pitcher ... even when things are going good.
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October 1, 2010
During the NFL off-season many experts and fantasy football owners thought that Shonn Greene, NY Jets running back, would have a good season. The Jets signed veteran RB LaDanian Tomlinson - and he has looked like the 'old' LT and has taken the starting job from young Shonn Greene. This has fantasy owners 'dropping' him from lineups and rosters - and others thinking that this young RB might be not be a valuable player for the Jets later in the season.
The bottom line is that Shonn Greene really didn't play much until late into 2009 because the Jets had Thomas Jones still providing production from the backfield. Greene's late season performance including some nice playoff games were partly due to the fact that he had fresh legs and was running hard. Seems like a similar situation might play out over the course of the 2010 NFL season as well. LT has been getting the bulk of the carries - but who really thinks he will be as strong in week 14 as LT seems now? Our guess is that Tomlinson wears down over the course of the season (or possibly gets injured) and Shonn Greene will emerge again as the feature back in the NY Jets offense.

If/When Shonn Greene gets back into the lineup - he will again have the advantage of being fresh when defenses are worn down late in the season. If this happens - we expect Shonn Greene 2009 SP Authentic Auto/Patch RC Cards to rise off the fairly low levels they are now. The Jets look like they are going to be in the playoff hunt and they get lots of national TV press and coverage. This all helps players values if they start playing better.
2009 Upper Deck UD SP Authentic Shonn Greene Auto Jersey RC

We took a look at 5 recently completed auctions from September 21 - October 1 2010. These were more the 1 color or 2 color patch variations. The more premium or prime patch pieces sell for 1.5 - 2x+ the less colorful patches.

Card on eBay: 2009 SP Authentic Shonn Green Auto/Patch RC

Current Avg. Price: $36.21 (5 Auctions)

Our Prediction: Up Arrow ~ 15% (Or Around $41.00 By December 1st)


RESULTS: Fail - these actually went down just a bit considering Shonn Greene has never got a full load this season. The Jets are still a very hot team, and its possible he makes an impact in the Playoffs. I would consider him a risky buy (with upside) because of the Playoff & possible Super Bowl impact. The multi-color variations and logo versions still sell for 1.5 - 2x ++ the more plain jerseys.

Shonn Green 2009 RC Card Checklist
2009 SP Authentic Football Review

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September 15, 2010
Typically I try to stay away from making price predictions for players I follow, and for the most part I think it leads to a biased opinion - but I'm going to take a shot anyway. The SF Giants are fighting for a playoff spot and possibly a division title late into the 2010 baseball season and 'rookie' catcher Buster Posey is a large part of the teams success. Buster played some games for SF late last season - however his presence in the Giants lineup for the past several months have made the Giants a contender to win a playoff spot. His smooth swing, ability to throw runners out behind the plate and general 'nice guy' presence will make him a huge star in the Bay Area.

Playoff baseball is a time where some people who live on the east and west coasts respectively start to see players they only see highlights of. East coast games are on when Californians are finishing up a days work and eating dinner. East coasters are in bed by the time Buster Posey has his first AB of the night. For that reason - I think Posey's cards might have a good chance at getting some exposure. Obviously I'm banking on a couple of things happening.

1 - Giants have to make the playoffs
2 - Buster has to play good

However, if both of those happen - I feel his 2008 Bowman Chrome Draft Autograph RC Card has a good chance at going up even more than it already has. I think Giants fans will jump on board considering they have paid good money for Tim Lincecum Autographs - and east coast prospectors or collectors might like what they see too. Given the price for a non-refractor version is under $100 - that also might mean there is some room to grow. All signs point to the card going up if the team plays well going into October baseball.

Card on eBay: 2008 Buster Posey Bowman Chrome Auto

Current Avg. Price: $77.85 (4 Auctions)

Our Prediction: Up Arrow ~ 10% (Or Around $85.00 Early October)

 


RESULTS: The Giants ended up making the playoffs - and Buster had a nice 1st game. We looked at 11 auctions ending Oct. 2 - 7 with an average price of $87.03 - With 2 selling for $100.
2008 Bowman Chrome Draft Buster Posey Auto RC

Buster Posey RC Card Checklist

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